Top discoveries
$baton
baton · Solana
Hg5Ja55T5wESq4vyFoiVCMeHXtGyVA69X2UHq8hgpump
Overview
- Decision
- watch
- Opportunity
- 59/100
- Risk
- 6/100
- Survival
- 75/100
- Coverage
- 79%
- Model
- phase1.0
- Does not clear the discovery bar.
- opportunity 59.0 is below 60
- Enough independent evidence is stored to keep this on the watch list.
Why this is interesting
- Liquidity is $757,343 (at least $250k). Liquidity is necessary, not evidence of quality.
Why this might be wrong
- LP lock status is unknown. Unknown is not treated as locked.
- Does not clear the discovery bar.
- opportunity 59.0 is below 60
- Enough independent evidence is stored to keep this on the watch list.
Market data
- Market cap
- $13.60M
- FDV
- $13.60M
- Liquidity
- $757.3K
- 24h volume
- $2.13M
- Pool age
- 30 days
- 24h price change
- +72%
Price change is displayed and is not an opportunity input. Pool age is the earliest observed pool, not a verified genesis date.
Acceleration
Change against this token's own earlier snapshots. This is not a prediction and not an opportunity score.
Measured 2026-10-26 03:29:28.602236+00:00
Market
unknown
- 15m liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 1h liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 24h liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 3d liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 6h liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 7d liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 15m liquidity_to_mcap · unknown · Not available · stale
- 1h liquidity_to_mcap · unknown · Not available · stale
On-chain
declining · coverage 100%
- 15m active_wallets · declining · -100% · complete
- 1h active_wallets · accelerating · +162% · complete
- 24h active_wallets · unknown · +154% · complete
- 3d active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial
- 6h active_wallets · declining · -7% · complete
- 7d active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial
- 15m buy_count · declining · -100% · complete
- 1h buy_count · accelerating · +231% · complete
Social
unknown
- 1h copy_ratio · unknown · Not available · stale
- 24h copy_ratio · unknown · Not available · stale
- 6h copy_ratio · unknown · Not available · stale
- 1h engagement · unknown · Not available · stale
- 24h engagement · unknown · Not available · stale
- 6h engagement · unknown · Not available · stale
- 1h mentions · unknown · Not available · stale
- 24h mentions · unknown · Not available · stale
Narrative
declining · coverage 7%
- 6h solana-ecosystem · declining · -66% · complete
- 6h pump-fun · declining · -46% · complete
No early acceleration event at this measurement.
Social momentum
Not available. X is queried only for a capped set of in-universe tokens.
Holder concentration
- Raw top-list share
- +20%
- Economic share
- +17%
Economic share is the listed wallets and unlabeled contracts divided by supply that is not labeled as burn, pool, bridge, staking, or exchange. This uses the provider's top-holder list, not a full census. Infrastructure share of total supply is 3%.
Data confidence
- market
- 100%
- onchain
- 100%
- social
- 0%
- development
- 0%
- narrative
- 0%
- risk
- 80%
- overall
- 47%
Data confidence is separate from the opportunity coverage gate.
On-chain
- Recent volume is below the 24h pace.
- 24h volume changed 146% versus the prior stored snapshot.
- Liquidity changed 14% versus the prior stored snapshot.
- Holder count changed 55% versus the prior stored snapshot.
- Buys dominate sells. One-sided flow is not treated as organic demand.
Smart money
- Signal
- Not available
- Qualified wallets
- 0
- High-confidence wallets
- 0
- Independent entities
- 0
- Independence
- Not available
- Accumulating
- 0
- Historical early-entry quality
- Not available
- Entry range fit
- Not available
- Coordination risk
- Not available
- Data confidence
- Not available
Why smart money matters
9 holder wallets were observed from this run. None have a measured historical track record, so none are qualified. A large balance is not smart money.
Smart money is evidence. It does not clear a honeypot, a malicious contract, extreme concentration, thin liquidity, or unsafe tokenomics.
Historical smart-money evidence: Not available. No free chart has been stored for this token yet.
Wallet tracking
- Tracked since
- 2026-09-27 00:36:16.460386+00:00
- Candidates
- 935
- Emerging
- 5
- Qualified
- 0
- High-confidence
- 0
- Independent entities
- 937
- Coordination risk
- MEDIUM
Tracking starts when a wallet is seen buying a watch, discovery, or strong research token. A candidate is not smart money.
Development
Not available. A missing GitHub link is not treated as proof that nobody is building.
Narrative
Not available. Categories are attached only when a source assigns them.
Tokenomics
- FDV is 1.0x circulating market cap.
Risk
- LP lock status is unknown. Unknown is not treated as locked.
Catalysts
- Unknown / insufficient data for verified upcoming catalysts.
- Further organic volume growth accompanied by increasing holder count could improve the thesis.
- Verified LP locking and benign contract permissions could reduce key risks.
- Evidence of sustained liquidity and demand without concentrated holder growth would be constructive.
Historical analogues
Not available. Analogues require stored candidates at least 30 days older, with enough overlapping features.
10x / 100x / 1000x market-cap scenarios
- 10x market cap
- $135.96M
- 100x market cap
- $1.36B
- 1000x market cap
- $13.60B
These are arithmetic market-cap scenarios, not predictions and not probabilities.
- No historical sector maximum is stored in the local corpus, so precedent is not available. Absence of a stored precedent is not evidence against the scenario.
- No historical sector maximum is stored in the local corpus, so precedent is not available. Absence of a stored precedent is not evidence against the scenario.
- No historical sector maximum is stored in the local corpus, so precedent is not available. Absence of a stored precedent is not evidence against the scenario.
AI research rationale
Baton is a moderately interesting but highly unverified Solana token discovery. The deterministic opportunity score is 61.1 and survival heuristic is 64.0, supported by approximately $776k liquidity, 25.1 days of observed trading, and an FDV roughly equal to market cap. However, the thesis is weakened by a 19% decline in holder count, a sharp but potentially unreliable volume spike, unknown LP lock status, and the absence of smart-money or verified historical-performance data. This is a watchlist candidate rather than a validated investment opportunity.
Confidence: medium. The packet contains several quantitative observations and complete inputs for the supplied heuristic scores, but key quality and risk variables remain unknown. In particular, LP status, contract controls, holder concentration, organic-volume validation, project fundamentals, and historical analogue outcomes are unavailable.
Why it is interesting
The token has meaningful observed liquidity relative to its approximately $12.3m market cap, a 1.0x FDV-to-circulating-market-cap ratio, and more than three weeks of observed pool activity. Recent volume and liquidity increases also indicate elevated market activity, although their quality is not established.
Bull case
Baton may have stronger-than-average near-term market resilience if the observed liquidity is genuine and the recent activity reflects organic demand rather than wash trading. The 18% economic holder share, $776k liquidity, and 25.1 days of observed trading provide some support for continued market participation. The absence of an FDV premium over circulating market cap also reduces one common dilution concern.
Bear case
Recent activity may be low quality: last-hour volume was 4.0x the 24-hour hourly pace and 24-hour volume increased 257%, while holder count declined 19%. Liquidity increased 88%, but liquidity alone is not evidence of quality or permanence. LP lock status is unknown, the age is only an earliest observed-pool date rather than a verified genesis date, and smart-money information is unavailable.
What would invalidate it
The thesis would be materially weakened or invalidated by evidence of unlocked or removable liquidity, contract-control hazards, wash trading, sustained holder-count deterioration, or a persistent decline in liquidity and organic trading activity. It would also be invalidated as a high-conviction opportunity if project, distribution, and contract-risk information remains unavailable.
Missing information
- Verified LP lock status and lock duration.
- Token distribution details beyond the 18% economic holder share.
- Holder count, wallet concentration, and top-holder changes in absolute terms.
- Evidence distinguishing organic volume from wash trading.
- Developer, team, project, product, or treasury information.
- Contract permissions, mint authority, freeze authority, and other token-control details.
- Exchange, market-maker, or ecosystem partnerships and listings.
- Verified historical later market-cap outcomes for comparable tokens.
- Smart-money participation data.
- Verified genesis date and complete trading history.
Model gpt-5.6-luna. The model did not choose the scores.
Backtest context
Forward returns at 7, 30, 90, 180, and 365 days are recorded after those horizons elapse. Until the sample is large enough, no signal is described as predictive.
Source links