Top discoveries
$龙虾
龙虾 · BNB Chain
0xeccbb861c0dda7efd964010085488b69317e4444
Overview
- Decision
- watch
- Opportunity
- 58/100
- Risk
- 22/100
- Survival
- 67/100
- Coverage
- 83%
- Model
- phase1.0
- Does not clear the discovery bar.
- opportunity 58.3 is below 60
- observed age is over 180 days and no acceleration is stored yet. Age and liquidity alone are not an early signal.
- Enough independent evidence is stored to keep this on the watch list.
Why this is interesting
- Liquidity is $2,040,875 (at least $1M). Liquidity is necessary, not evidence of quality.
Why this might be wrong
- Economic holders control 88%.
- Does not clear the discovery bar.
- opportunity 58.3 is below 60
- observed age is over 180 days and no acceleration is stored yet. Age and liquidity alone are not an early signal.
- Enough independent evidence is stored to keep this on the watch list.
Market data
- Market cap
- $43.35M
- FDV
- $43.35M
- Liquidity
- $2.04M
- 24h volume
- $6.77M
- Pool age
- 224 days
- 24h price change
- +5%
Price change is displayed and is not an opportunity input. Pool age is the earliest observed pool, not a verified genesis date.
Acceleration
Change against this token's own earlier snapshots. This is not a prediction and not an opportunity score.
Measured 2026-10-26 05:37:53.023332+00:00
Market
unknown
- 15m liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 1h liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 24h liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 3d liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 6h liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 7d liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 15m liquidity_to_mcap · unknown · Not available · stale
- 1h liquidity_to_mcap · unknown · Not available · stale
On-chain
unknown
- 15m active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 1h active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 24h active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 3d active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 6h active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 7d active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 15m buy_count · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 1h buy_count · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
Social
unknown
- Unknown. Not enough earlier snapshots in this domain.
Narrative
flat · coverage 8%
- 6h binance-smart-chain · flat · -4% · complete
- 6h meme-token · flat · +9% · complete
- 6h binance-alpha-spotlight · accelerating · +147% · complete
- 6h four-meme-ecosystem · unknown · Not available · unavailable
No early acceleration event at this measurement.
Social momentum
Not available. X is queried only for a capped set of in-universe tokens.
Holder concentration
- Raw top-list share
- +88%
- Economic share
- +88%
Economic share is the listed wallets and unlabeled contracts divided by supply that is not labeled as burn, pool, bridge, staking, or exchange. This uses the provider's top-holder list, not a full census. Infrastructure share of total supply is 2%.
Data confidence
- market
- 100%
- onchain
- 100%
- social
- 0%
- development
- 0%
- narrative
- 0%
- risk
- 80%
- overall
- 47%
Data confidence is separate from the opportunity coverage gate.
On-chain
- Recent volume is below the 24h pace.
- 24h volume changed 21% versus the prior stored snapshot.
- Liquidity changed -4% versus the prior stored snapshot.
- Holder count changed -0% versus the prior stored snapshot.
Smart money
- Signal
- Not available
- Qualified wallets
- 0
- High-confidence wallets
- 0
- Independent entities
- 0
- Independence
- Not available
- Accumulating
- 0
- Historical early-entry quality
- Not available
- Entry range fit
- Not available
- Coordination risk
- Not available
- Data confidence
- Not available
Why smart money matters
7 holder wallets were observed from this run. None have a measured historical track record, so none are qualified. A large balance is not smart money.
Smart money is evidence. It does not clear a honeypot, a malicious contract, extreme concentration, thin liquidity, or unsafe tokenomics.
Historical smart-money evidence: Not available. No free chart has been stored for this token yet.
Wallet tracking
- Tracked since
- 2026-09-27 00:36:07.185348+00:00
- Candidates
- 35
- Emerging
- 1
- Qualified
- 0
- High-confidence
- 0
- Independent entities
- 35
- Coordination risk
- MEDIUM
Tracking starts when a wallet is seen buying a watch, discovery, or strong research token. A candidate is not smart money.
Development
Not available. A missing GitHub link is not treated as proof that nobody is building.
Narrative
Not available. Categories are attached only when a source assigns them.
Tokenomics
- FDV is 1.0x circulating market cap.
- Reported sell tax is 0. This is a provider flag, not an audit.
Risk
- Economic holders control 88%.
Catalysts
- Independent verification of contract safety, ownership controls, and holder concentration.
- Evidence of sustained organic volume and holder growth rather than a one-period volume spike.
- A verifiable product, utility, partnership, or user-growth milestone.
- Transparent liquidity-lock, vesting, and distribution disclosures.
- Additional reliable market or project data that resolves the current information gaps.
Historical analogues
Not available. Analogues require stored candidates at least 30 days older, with enough overlapping features.
10x / 100x / 1000x market-cap scenarios
- 10x market cap
- $433.46M
- 100x market cap
- $4.33B
- 1000x market cap
- $43.35B
These are arithmetic market-cap scenarios, not predictions and not probabilities.
- No historical sector maximum is stored in the local corpus, so precedent is not available. Absence of a stored precedent is not evidence against the scenario.
- No historical sector maximum is stored in the local corpus, so precedent is not available. Absence of a stored precedent is not evidence against the scenario.
- No historical sector maximum is stored in the local corpus, so precedent is not available. Absence of a stored precedent is not evidence against the scenario.
AI research rationale
龙虾 on BSC is a moderately interesting but highly speculative discovery candidate, not a validated investment thesis. The deterministic opportunity score is 60.0, while survival is 67.0 and reported risk is 22; these scores should not be treated as forecasts. The strongest positive evidence is observed trading activity over 217.3 days, approximately $1.85 million of liquidity, stable recent holder and liquidity changes, and a negative honeypot check from the sources that ran. However, the token’s identity, fundamentals, holder concentration, contract safety, distribution quality, and ability to sustain activity remain insufficiently verified.
Confidence: low. The supplied metrics are internally useful but narrow and largely provider-derived. Important information about contract permissions, holder distribution, volume quality, project fundamentals, and historical outcomes is missing. The deterministic scores and observed age provide some structure, but they do not overcome the token’s concentration and verification risks.
Why it is interesting
The token has a reported market cap and FDV of approximately $36.7 million, $1.85 million of liquidity, and 217.3 days of observed pool activity. Economic holders reportedly control 93%, and recent holder count and liquidity changes were relatively limited at 2% and 3%, respectively. These factors may indicate some persistence and tradability, but they do not establish project quality or future demand.
Bull case
The token could have durable speculative interest if the observed 217.3-day trading history reflects genuine, sustained activity rather than a limited or manipulated market. Liquidity of approximately $1.85 million may support trading, while the reported 0 sell tax and negative honeypot checks reduce—but do not eliminate—some immediate trading-contract concerns. The 404% change in 24-hour volume versus the prior stored snapshot could indicate renewed attention, although recent volume is also reported as below the current 24-hour pace.
Bear case
The thesis may fail because the token has no demonstrated fundamental utility, product traction, credible team, verified community, or durable demand in the supplied evidence. Economic holders control 93%, creating concentration and exit risk. The reported age is only the earliest observed pool date rather than a verified genesis date, and the negative honeypot result is explicitly not a guarantee. The apparent volume surge may be temporary, especially since recent volume is below the 24-hour pace. A $36.7 million valuation is also substantial relative to the limited evidence of fundamentals.
What would invalidate it
The thesis is invalidated if contract review identifies exploitable administrative controls or trading restrictions; if holder analysis reveals concentrated insider, deployer, or linked-wallet ownership beyond what is acceptable; if liquidity is removable or materially deteriorates; if reported volume is shown to be inorganic; or if observed trading activity cannot be independently reproduced. It would also be weakened materially by evidence that the token lacks any verifiable utility, team, or sustained user demand.
Missing information
- Verified contract ownership and administrative permissions.
- Independent smart-contract audit and full buy/sell simulation results.
- Top-holder addresses, unlocks, vesting, deployer holdings, and wallet relationship analysis.
- Verified circulating supply methodology and token distribution details.
- Trading-volume quality, wash-trading analysis, and market-maker dependence.
- Project team identity, product status, roadmap execution, and community engagement.
- Exchange listings, market depth, slippage, and liquidity-lock or withdrawal terms.
- Revenue, protocol usage, utility, or other fundamental demand metrics.
- Verified genesis date and complete historical price, volume, and liquidity series.
- Historical analogue outcomes or stored later market caps.
Model gpt-5.6-luna. The model did not choose the scores.
Backtest context
Forward returns at 7, 30, 90, 180, and 365 days are recorded after those horizons elapse. Until the sample is large enough, no signal is described as predictive.
Source links