Top discoveries
$STONKEX
The Stonks Exchange · Base
0x5ab000ff9b9ffe0349ce5ffa5fd86f217c3680f5
Overview
- Decision
- watch
- Opportunity
- 58/100
- Risk
- 12/100
- Survival
- 72/100
- Coverage
- 83%
- Model
- phase1.0
- Does not clear the discovery bar.
- opportunity 58.1 is below 60
- Enough independent evidence is stored to keep this on the watch list.
Why this is interesting
- Liquidity is $352,601 (at least $250k). Liquidity is necessary, not evidence of quality.
Why this might be wrong
- A majority of LP is unlocked on the provider report.
- Does not clear the discovery bar.
- opportunity 58.1 is below 60
- Enough independent evidence is stored to keep this on the watch list.
Market data
- Market cap
- $5.03M
- FDV
- $4.54M
- Liquidity
- $352.6K
- 24h volume
- $186.1K
- Pool age
- 46 days
- 24h price change
- -2%
Price change is displayed and is not an opportunity input. Pool age is the earliest observed pool, not a verified genesis date.
Acceleration
Change against this token's own earlier snapshots. This is not a prediction and not an opportunity score.
Measured 2026-10-26 05:37:53.023332+00:00
Market
unknown
- 15m liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 1h liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 24h liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 3d liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 6h liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 7d liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 15m liquidity_to_mcap · unknown · Not available · stale
- 1h liquidity_to_mcap · unknown · Not available · stale
On-chain
declining · coverage 100%
- 15m active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 1h active_wallets · declining · -100% · complete
- 24h active_wallets · unknown · -9% · complete
- 3d active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial
- 6h active_wallets · declining · -14% · complete
- 7d active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial
- 15m buy_count · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 1h buy_count · declining · -100% · complete
Social
unknown
- Unknown. Not enough earlier snapshots in this domain.
Narrative
flat · coverage 10%
- 6h meme-token · flat · +9% · complete
- 6h base-ecosystem · accelerating · +30% · complete
- 6h base-meme-coins · flat · +0% · complete
No early acceleration event at this measurement.
Social momentum
Not available. X is queried only for a capped set of in-universe tokens.
Holder concentration
- Raw top-list share
- +25%
- Economic share
- +24%
Economic share is the listed wallets and unlabeled contracts divided by supply that is not labeled as burn, pool, bridge, staking, or exchange. This uses the provider's top-holder list, not a full census. Infrastructure share of total supply is 14%.
Data confidence
- market
- 100%
- onchain
- 100%
- social
- 0%
- development
- 0%
- narrative
- 0%
- risk
- 80%
- overall
- 47%
Data confidence is separate from the opportunity coverage gate.
On-chain
- Recent volume is below the 24h pace.
- 24h volume changed -26% versus the prior stored snapshot.
- Liquidity changed -2% versus the prior stored snapshot.
- Holder count changed 0% versus the prior stored snapshot.
Smart money
- Signal
- Not available
- Qualified wallets
- 0
- High-confidence wallets
- 0
- Independent entities
- 0
- Independence
- Not available
- Accumulating
- 0
- Historical early-entry quality
- Not available
- Entry range fit
- Not available
- Coordination risk
- Not available
- Data confidence
- Not available
Why smart money matters
3 holder wallets were observed from this run. None have a measured historical track record, so none are qualified. A large balance is not smart money.
Smart money is evidence. It does not clear a honeypot, a malicious contract, extreme concentration, thin liquidity, or unsafe tokenomics.
Historical smart-money evidence: Not available. No free chart has been stored for this token yet.
Wallet tracking
- Tracked since
- 2026-09-26 23:59:57.339671+00:00
- Candidates
- 448
- Emerging
- 11
- Qualified
- 0
- High-confidence
- 0
- Independent entities
- 453
- Coordination risk
- MEDIUM
Emerging wallet activity detected. 0x00…0e61 0xbd…15b2
Emerging wallet activity is not a smart-money alert and does not mean these wallets are qualified.
Tracking starts when a wallet is seen buying a watch, discovery, or strong research token. A candidate is not smart money.
Development
Not available. A missing GitHub link is not treated as proof that nobody is building.
Narrative
Not available. Categories are attached only when a source assigns them.
Tokenomics
- FDV is 0.9x circulating market cap.
- Reported sell tax is 0. This is a provider flag, not an audit.
Risk
- A majority of LP is unlocked on the provider report.
Catalysts
- Sustained volume growth accompanied by rising holder count and stable or increasing liquidity.
- Evidence that LP is locked or otherwise credibly constrained from withdrawal.
- Independent verification of contract safety, ownership controls, token distribution, and project operators.
- Demonstrated product usage, revenue, partnerships, or other non-speculative demand drivers.
- Improved liquidity quality and evidence that activity is organic rather than concentrated or promotional.
Historical analogues
Not available. Analogues require stored candidates at least 30 days older, with enough overlapping features.
10x / 100x / 1000x market-cap scenarios
- 10x market cap
- $50.29M
- 100x market cap
- $502.90M
- 1000x market cap
- $5.03B
These are arithmetic market-cap scenarios, not predictions and not probabilities.
- No historical sector maximum is stored in the local corpus, so precedent is not available. Absence of a stored precedent is not evidence against the scenario.
- No historical sector maximum is stored in the local corpus, so precedent is not available. Absence of a stored precedent is not evidence against the scenario.
- No historical sector maximum is stored in the local corpus, so precedent is not available. Absence of a stored precedent is not evidence against the scenario.
AI research rationale
STONKEX is an interesting but highly speculative Base-token discovery with moderate opportunity characteristics, not a validated investment thesis. The reported opportunity score of 62.7 and survival score of 75.0 should be treated as screening outputs rather than forecasts. The main positive is meaningful observed liquidity and 39 days of observed trading, while the main concerns are unlocked LP exposure, limited evidence of holder growth, uncertain token age, and the absence of smart-money or fundamental validation.
Confidence: low. The packet contains useful market-structure snapshots and deterministic screening scores, but lacks fundamental, contract-security, distribution, liquidity-lock, and verified-history information. Several reported metrics are explicitly heuristic or incomplete, and the strongest apparent risk factor is unlocked LP.
Why it is interesting
The token has approximately $8.9 million market capitalization, $528,370 liquidity, and $8.05 million FDV, with 39 days of observed pool activity. Recent activity metrics are somewhat constructive: last-hour volume was 1.6x the 24-hour hourly pace and 24-hour volume increased 18% versus the prior snapshot. These factors explain why it may merit monitoring as a discovery candidate, but they do not establish durable demand or project quality.
Bull case
STONKEX may have enough liquidity to support continued trading, and its observed 39-day history is better than an entirely new launch. Negative honeypot checks from the sources that ran, relatively stable holder count, and recent volume acceleration provide limited evidence that trading is functioning and interest may be present. The FDV being 0.9x circulating market capitalization also suggests limited measured dilution relative to the circulating figure, although it does not resolve broader supply or insider risks.
Bear case
The thesis could fail if liquidity is withdrawn, trading activity is temporary, or token distribution is concentrated. A majority of LP is reportedly unlocked, which creates a material exit/liquidity risk. Holder count changed only 1% and liquidity changed 9% versus prior snapshots, so there is no strong evidence here of broadening adoption. The 39-day age is only the earliest observed pool date, not a verified genesis date, and the honeypot result is explicitly not a guarantee. No project fundamentals, utility, team, audit, revenue, or durable community evidence are supplied.
What would invalidate it
The thesis would be weakened or invalidated by liquidity withdrawal, inability to sell under normal conditions, evidence of concentrated insider control, contract privileges enabling harmful changes, declining volume accompanied by falling liquidity, stagnant or shrinking holder base, or inability to verify any underlying project purpose or demand. A negative honeypot result alone would not prevent invalidation.
Missing information
- Unknown / insufficient data: team identity, project purpose, utility, roadmap, and operating traction.
- Unknown / insufficient data: contract ownership, privileged functions, upgradeability, blacklist or tax controls, and audit status.
- Unknown / insufficient data: full holder distribution, insider allocations, wallet clustering, and top-holder concentration.
- Unknown / insufficient data: verified token genesis date and complete trading history.
- Unknown / insufficient data: LP provider, lock terms, unlock schedule, and whether liquidity is controlled by insiders.
- Unknown / insufficient data: organic versus incentivized volume, wash-trading indicators, and exchange or venue breadth.
- Unknown / insufficient data: project revenue, treasury, treasury runway, or other fundamental valuation support.
- Unknown / insufficient data: verified smart-money participation and historical analogue outcomes.
Model gpt-5.6-luna. The model did not choose the scores.
Backtest context
Forward returns at 7, 30, 90, 180, and 365 days are recorded after those horizons elapse. Until the sample is large enough, no signal is described as predictive.
Source links