Top discoveries
$DOT
DOT · Base
0x23a2847d772803f9efc64b4277b782b06296fe51
Overview
- Decision
- research_queue
- Opportunity
- 49/100
- Risk
- 10/100
- Survival
- 65/100
- Coverage
- 64%
- Model
- phase1.0
- opportunity 49.1 is below 60
Why this is interesting
- Liquidity is $493,219 (at least $250k). Liquidity is necessary, not evidence of quality.
Why this might be wrong
- Contract security was not checked. Unknown is not treated as safe.
- opportunity 49.1 is below 60
Market data
- Market cap
- $6.72M
- FDV
- $7.11M
- Liquidity
- $493.2K
- 24h volume
- $63.7K
- Pool age
- 151 days
- 24h price change
- -7%
Price change is displayed and is not an opportunity input. Pool age is the earliest observed pool, not a verified genesis date.
Acceleration
Change against this token's own earlier snapshots. This is not a prediction and not an opportunity score.
Measured 2026-10-26 04:33:35.840937+00:00
Market
flat · coverage 100%
- 15m liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 1h liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 24h liquidity · flat · -2% · complete
- 3d liquidity · unknown · -20% · complete
- 6h liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 7d liquidity · unknown · -20% · complete
- 15m liquidity_to_mcap · unknown · Not available · stale
- 1h liquidity_to_mcap · unknown · Not available · stale
On-chain
declining · coverage 100%
- 15m active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 1h active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 24h active_wallets · declining · -100% · complete
- 3d active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial
- 6h active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 7d active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial
- 15m buy_count · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 1h buy_count · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
Social
unknown
- Unknown. Not enough earlier snapshots in this domain.
Narrative
flat · coverage 9%
- 6h artificial-intelligence · flat · +0% · complete
- 6h base-ecosystem · flat · -28% · complete
No early acceleration event at this measurement.
Social momentum
Not available. X is queried only for a capped set of in-universe tokens.
Holder concentration
- Raw top-list share
- Not available
- Economic share
- Not available
Not available. Raw share includes every non-burn address in the provider list. Economic share removes labeled pools, burn, bridges, staking, and labeled exchanges.
Data confidence
- market
- 100%
- onchain
- 20%
- social
- 0%
- development
- 0%
- narrative
- 0%
- risk
- 35%
- overall
- 26%
Data confidence is separate from the opportunity coverage gate.
On-chain
- Recent volume is below the 24h pace.
- 24h volume changed -74% versus the prior stored snapshot.
- Liquidity changed -20% versus the prior stored snapshot.
Smart money
- Signal
- Not available
- Qualified wallets
- 0
- High-confidence wallets
- 0
- Independent entities
- 0
- Independence
- Not available
- Accumulating
- 0
- Historical early-entry quality
- Not available
- Entry range fit
- Not available
- Coordination risk
- Not available
- Data confidence
- Not available
Why smart money matters
No qualified wallet with a measured track record is on this token. A large holder observed today is not smart money.
Smart money is evidence. It does not clear a honeypot, a malicious contract, extreme concentration, thin liquidity, or unsafe tokenomics.
Historical smart-money evidence: Not available. No free chart has been stored for this token yet.
Wallet tracking
- Tracked since
- 2026-09-26 23:59:58.342282+00:00
- Candidates
- 257
- Emerging
- 11
- Qualified
- 0
- High-confidence
- 0
- Independent entities
- 266
- Coordination risk
- MEDIUM
Emerging wallet activity detected. 0x00…0e61 0x54…bc75 0x3b…caaf 0x91…1a48 0xaf…3812
Emerging wallet activity is not a smart-money alert and does not mean these wallets are qualified.
Tracking starts when a wallet is seen buying a watch, discovery, or strong research token. A candidate is not smart money.
Development
Not available. A missing GitHub link is not treated as proof that nobody is building.
Narrative
Not available. Categories are attached only when a source assigns them.
Tokenomics
- FDV is 1.1x circulating market cap.
Risk
- Contract security was not checked. Unknown is not treated as safe.
Catalysts
- Evidence of a durable LP lock or improved liquidity-lock terms.
- Sustained increases in holders, economic holder share, and organic volume.
- Independent confirmation of contract permissions, tokenomics, and the reported zero sell tax.
- A clearer project use case, ongoing development, or verifiable ecosystem adoption.
- Improvement in the broader market regime, which could increase risk appetite for microcaps.
Historical analogues
Not available. Analogues require stored candidates at least 30 days older, with enough overlapping features.
10x / 100x / 1000x market-cap scenarios
- 10x market cap
- $67.15M
- 100x market cap
- $671.51M
- 1000x market cap
- $6.72B
These are arithmetic market-cap scenarios, not predictions and not probabilities.
- No historical sector maximum is stored in the local corpus, so precedent is not available. Absence of a stored precedent is not evidence against the scenario.
- No historical sector maximum is stored in the local corpus, so precedent is not available. Absence of a stored precedent is not evidence against the scenario.
- No historical sector maximum is stored in the local corpus, so precedent is not available. Absence of a stored precedent is not evidence against the scenario.
AI research rationale
DOT on Base is a moderately interesting discovery candidate, but not a validated investment thesis. The token has meaningful observed liquidity, roughly 135 days of observed trading, low apparent FDV dilution, and a negative honeypot check from available sources. However, the majority of LP is unlocked, holder growth is flat, recent volume is below its 24-hour pace, the market regime is risk-off, and the observed age is not a verified genesis date. The deterministic opportunity score of 62.5 should not be treated as evidence of expected returns.
Confidence: medium. The packet provides reasonably complete deterministic inputs, with coverage of 0.832 and five of five survival inputs present. However, critical qualitative information about the contract, team, LP lock, holder concentration, trading quality, and actual project activity is absent, and several supplied signals are explicitly heuristic or provider-reported.
Why it is interesting
The token has a reported market cap of $6.98 million, liquidity of $613,610, and FDV of $7.40 million, with FDV only 1.1x circulating market cap. It also has 134.9 days of observed trading, liquidity above $250,000, and a provider-reported zero sell tax. These characteristics support further investigation, but do not establish token quality, demand, or durability.
Bull case
The token has survived approximately 135 days of observed trading with $613,610 of liquidity, and liquidity changed only 1% versus the prior snapshot. The negative honeypot checks, reported zero sell tax, and relatively small gap between circulating market cap and FDV reduce some common structural concerns. The 62.5 opportunity score and 79.0 survival score indicate the supplied deterministic framework views it as a stronger-than-average discovery candidate, although those scores are not forecasts.
Bear case
The majority of LP is unlocked, creating a material liquidity-withdrawal risk. Holder count was flat versus the prior snapshot, recent volume is below the 24-hour pace, and economic holder share is only 23%. The market is risk-off for microcaps. The observed pool age may overstate actual project age because it is not a verified genesis date, while a negative honeypot check and zero sell-tax flag are not audits or guarantees.
What would invalidate it
The thesis would be weakened or invalidated by evidence of LP withdrawal, privileged contract controls that enable harmful supply or transfer changes, materially adverse holder concentration, confirmed non-organic volume, inability to sell under realistic conditions, or deterioration in liquidity and trading activity. Conversely, a negative honeypot check alone would not invalidate the bear case because it is explicitly not a guarantee.
Missing information
- Verified team identity, project purpose, roadmap, and development activity: Unknown / insufficient data.
- Contract ownership, minting, pause, blacklist, fee-change, and other privileged permissions: Unknown / insufficient data.
- LP provider identity, lock terms, unlock schedule, and actual withdrawal controls: Unknown / insufficient data.
- Holder distribution, top-holder concentration, and wallet clustering: Unknown / insufficient data.
- Trading venue composition, wash-trading indicators, bid-ask spreads, and depth under selling pressure: Unknown / insufficient data.
- Audit status and independent contract review: Unknown / insufficient data.
- Circulating-supply methodology and token allocation details: Unknown / insufficient data.
- Verified genesis date and continuity of trading history: Unknown / insufficient data.
- Sustained volume trend beyond the supplied snapshots: Unknown / insufficient data.
- Historical analogue outcomes are unavailable unless a stored later market cap exists; no such analogue data is supplied here.
Model gpt-5.6-luna. The model did not choose the scores.
Backtest context
Forward returns at 7, 30, 90, 180, and 365 days are recorded after those horizons elapse. Until the sample is large enough, no signal is described as predictive.
Source links