Top discoveries
$AGL
Apex Gold Ledger · Ethereum
0x63401cdd577478f9389a1683e866a937f072d1c2
Overview
- Decision
- watch
- Opportunity
- 58/100
- Risk
- 20/100
- Survival
- 62/100
- Coverage
- 83%
- Model
- phase1.0
- Does not clear the discovery bar.
- opportunity 58.0 is below 60
- Enough independent evidence is stored to keep this on the watch list.
Why this is interesting
- Liquidity is $1,383,078 (at least $1M). Liquidity is necessary, not evidence of quality.
Why this might be wrong
- Economic holders control 54%.
- A majority of LP is unlocked on the provider report.
- Does not clear the discovery bar.
- opportunity 58.0 is below 60
- Enough independent evidence is stored to keep this on the watch list.
Market data
- Market cap
- $6.15M
- FDV
- $6.14M
- Liquidity
- $1.38M
- 24h volume
- $109.1K
- Pool age
- 24 days
- 24h price change
- -9%
Price change is displayed and is not an opportunity input. Pool age is the earliest observed pool, not a verified genesis date.
Acceleration
Change against this token's own earlier snapshots. This is not a prediction and not an opportunity score.
Measured 2026-10-26 05:37:53.023332+00:00
Market
declining · coverage 100%
- 15m liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 1h liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 24h liquidity · declining · -6% · complete
- 3d liquidity · unknown · +109% · complete
- 6h liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 7d liquidity · unknown · +109% · complete
- 15m liquidity_to_mcap · unknown · Not available · stale
- 1h liquidity_to_mcap · unknown · Not available · stale
On-chain
declining · coverage 100%
- 15m active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 1h active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 24h active_wallets · declining · -100% · complete
- 3d active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial
- 6h active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 7d active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial
- 15m buy_count · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 1h buy_count · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
Social
unknown
- 1h copy_ratio · unknown · Not available · stale
- 24h copy_ratio · unknown · Not available · stale
- 6h copy_ratio · unknown · Not available · stale
- 1h engagement · unknown · Not available · stale
- 24h engagement · unknown · Not available · stale
- 6h engagement · unknown · Not available · stale
- 1h mentions · unknown · Not available · stale
- 24h mentions · unknown · Not available · stale
Narrative
unknown · coverage 0%
- 6h ethereum-ecosystem · unknown · Not available · unavailable
- 6h real-world-assets-rwa · unknown · Not available · partial
- 6h rwafi · unknown · Not available · unavailable
- 6h rwa · unknown · Not available · partial
Early acceleration event
EARLY_ACCELERATION_EVENT · market, liquidity_volume
- market volume 24h · growth +288% · complete
- liquidity_volume volume 24h · growth +288% · complete
- Context: token_entering_existing_narrative, token_in_flat_narrative
Social momentum
Not available. X is queried only for a capped set of in-universe tokens.
Holder concentration
- Raw top-list share
- +54%
- Economic share
- +54%
Economic share is the listed wallets and unlabeled contracts divided by supply that is not labeled as burn, pool, bridge, staking, or exchange. This uses the provider's top-holder list, not a full census. Infrastructure share of total supply is 0%.
Data confidence
- market
- 100%
- onchain
- 100%
- social
- 0%
- development
- 0%
- narrative
- 0%
- risk
- 80%
- overall
- 47%
Data confidence is separate from the opportunity coverage gate.
On-chain
- Recent volume is below the 24h pace.
- 24h volume changed 255% versus the prior stored snapshot.
- Liquidity changed -6% versus the prior stored snapshot.
- Holder count changed 1% versus the prior stored snapshot.
- Buys dominate sells. One-sided flow is not treated as organic demand.
Smart money
- Signal
- Not available
- Qualified wallets
- 0
- High-confidence wallets
- 0
- Independent entities
- 0
- Independence
- Not available
- Accumulating
- 0
- Historical early-entry quality
- Not available
- Entry range fit
- Not available
- Coordination risk
- Not available
- Data confidence
- Not available
Why smart money matters
7 holder wallets were observed from this run. None have a measured historical track record, so none are qualified. A large balance is not smart money.
Smart money is evidence. It does not clear a honeypot, a malicious contract, extreme concentration, thin liquidity, or unsafe tokenomics.
Historical smart-money evidence: Not available. No free chart has been stored for this token yet.
Wallet tracking
- Tracked since
- 2026-10-25 01:49:08.087711+00:00
- Candidates
- 20
- Emerging
- 0
- Qualified
- 0
- High-confidence
- 0
- Independent entities
- 20
- Coordination risk
- LOW
Tracking starts when a wallet is seen buying a watch, discovery, or strong research token. A candidate is not smart money.
Development
Not available. A missing GitHub link is not treated as proof that nobody is building.
Narrative
Not available. Categories are attached only when a source assigns them.
Tokenomics
- FDV is 1.0x circulating market cap.
- Reported sell tax is 0. This is a provider flag, not an audit.
Risk
- Economic holders control 54%.
- A majority of LP is unlocked on the provider report.
Catalysts
- Sustained or recovering volume after the 85% decline, confirmed across multiple snapshots.
- Evidence that the 122% liquidity increase is durable and not dependent on unlocked LP.
- Reduction in economic holder concentration or transparent identification of major holders.
- Independent contract audit and disclosure of privileged functions.
- Verified project utility, credible team information, or measurable adoption.
- A longer period of stable trading without adverse contract, liquidity, or concentration events.
Historical analogues
Not available. Analogues require stored candidates at least 30 days older, with enough overlapping features.
10x / 100x / 1000x market-cap scenarios
- 10x market cap
- $61.46M
- 100x market cap
- $614.61M
- 1000x market cap
- $6.15B
These are arithmetic market-cap scenarios, not predictions and not probabilities.
- No historical sector maximum is stored in the local corpus, so precedent is not available. Absence of a stored precedent is not evidence against the scenario.
- No historical sector maximum is stored in the local corpus, so precedent is not available. Absence of a stored precedent is not evidence against the scenario.
- No historical sector maximum is stored in the local corpus, so precedent is not available. Absence of a stored precedent is not evidence against the scenario.
AI research rationale
AGL is an early-stage, moderately liquid Ethereum token with a favorable discovery score but limited evidence of durable demand or project quality. The 23.6-day observed trading history, sharp volume decline, unlocked LP exposure, and incomplete information about contract, team, distribution, and utility make this a speculative watchlist candidate rather than a validated investment thesis.
Confidence: medium. The packet contains consistent market, liquidity, age, concentration, and snapshot-change metrics, with 82.8% coverage. Confidence is limited because the history is short, the pool age is not a verified genesis date, several security checks are provider-level only, and core project and contract information is absent.
Why it is interesting
Market cap and FDV are both approximately $6.8 million, while liquidity is approximately $1.47 million, or 21.6% of market cap. Economic holders control 53%, reported sell tax is zero, and the honeypot checks that ran were negative. These factors may support tradability, but they do not establish legitimacy, sustainable demand, or resistance to concentrated selling.
Bull case
AGL has meaningful on-chain liquidity relative to its market cap, no reported FDV-to-circulating-cap mismatch, and no detected honeypot on the available checks. Holder count increased 39% versus the prior snapshot, liquidity increased 122%, and recent volume is close to the current 24-hour pace. If the liquidity increase reflects genuine market participation and the token has credible underlying utility or community traction, the current valuation could support continued discovery.
Bear case
The token has only 23.6 days of observed trading history, and that is not a verified genesis date. Volume fell 85% versus the prior stored snapshot, the majority of LP is unlocked, and economic holders control 53%. The negative honeypot result is explicitly not a guarantee, while zero sell tax is only a provider flag. There is no supplied evidence of team identity, contract audit, utility, revenue, organic holder quality, or sustained trading demand.
What would invalidate it
The tentative bull case would be invalidated by evidence of privileged contract abuse, non-executable selling, undisclosed minting or blacklist controls, rapid LP withdrawal, major-holder distribution, fabricated or wash volume, or a sustained collapse in liquidity and activity. Conversely, a durable improvement in volume alone would not invalidate the risks from concentration, unlocked LP, or missing fundamentals.
Missing information
- Verified contract behavior, including ownership privileges, upgradeability, minting, blacklisting, trading restrictions, and tax controls.
- Independent contract audit or security review.
- Team identity, project documentation, roadmap, utility, treasury, and revenue information.
- Breakdown of holder concentration excluding exchange, LP, burn, treasury, and known contract addresses.
- LP provider identity, lock duration, withdrawal rights, and historical liquidity events.
- Evidence distinguishing organic volume and holder growth from incentives, wash trading, or coordinated activity.
- Verified token genesis date and complete trading history.
- Smart-money participation and historical analogue outcomes.
Model gpt-5.6-luna. The model did not choose the scores.
Backtest context
Forward returns at 7, 30, 90, 180, and 365 days are recorded after those horizons elapse. Until the sample is large enough, no signal is described as predictive.
Source links