Top discoveries
$4
4 · BNB Chain
0x0a43fc31a73013089df59194872ecae4cae14444
Overview
- Decision
- top_discovery
- Opportunity
- 63/100
- Risk
- 14/100
- Survival
- 73/100
- Coverage
- 74%
- Model
- phase1.0
- Cleared the phase-1 discovery bar on stored evidence.
Why this is interesting
- Liquidity is $1,547,374 (at least $1M). Liquidity is necessary, not evidence of quality.
Why this might be wrong
- Economic holders control 63%.
- Cleared the phase-1 discovery bar on stored evidence.
Market data
- Market cap
- $18.95M
- FDV
- $18.95M
- Liquidity
- $1.55M
- 24h volume
- $502.8K
- Pool age
- 371 days
- 24h price change
- +3%
Price change is displayed and is not an opportunity input. Pool age is the earliest observed pool, not a verified genesis date.
Acceleration
Change against this token's own earlier snapshots. This is not a prediction and not an opportunity score.
Measured 2026-10-26 02:25:36.873114+00:00
Market
unknown
- 15m liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 1h liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 24h liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 3d liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 6h liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 7d liquidity · unknown · Not available · stale
- 15m liquidity_to_mcap · unknown · Not available · stale
- 1h liquidity_to_mcap · unknown · Not available · stale
On-chain
unknown
- 15m active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 1h active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 24h active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 3d active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 6h active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 7d active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 15m buy_count · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 1h buy_count · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
Social
unknown
- Unknown. Not enough earlier snapshots in this domain.
Narrative
declining · coverage 12%
- 6h binance-smart-chain · declining · -33% · complete
- 6h meme-token · declining · -28% · complete
- 6h binance-alpha-spotlight · accelerating · +34% · complete
- 6h four-meme-ecosystem · unknown · Not available · unavailable
No early acceleration event at this measurement.
Social momentum
Not available. X is queried only for a capped set of in-universe tokens.
Holder concentration
- Raw top-list share
- +65%
- Economic share
- +63%
Economic share is the listed wallets and unlabeled contracts divided by supply that is not labeled as burn, pool, bridge, staking, or exchange. This uses the provider's top-holder list, not a full census. Infrastructure share of total supply is 4%.
Data confidence
- market
- 100%
- onchain
- 100%
- social
- 0%
- development
- 0%
- narrative
- 60%
- risk
- 80%
- overall
- 57%
Data confidence is separate from the opportunity coverage gate.
On-chain
- Recent volume is close to the 24h pace.
- 24h volume changed 63% versus the prior stored snapshot.
- Liquidity changed -2% versus the prior stored snapshot.
- Holder count changed -0% versus the prior stored snapshot.
Smart money
- Signal
- Not available
- Qualified wallets
- 0
- High-confidence wallets
- 0
- Independent entities
- 0
- Independence
- Not available
- Accumulating
- 0
- Historical early-entry quality
- Not available
- Entry range fit
- Not available
- Coordination risk
- Not available
- Data confidence
- Not available
Why smart money matters
2 holder wallets were observed from this run. None have a measured historical track record, so none are qualified. A large balance is not smart money.
Smart money is evidence. It does not clear a honeypot, a malicious contract, extreme concentration, thin liquidity, or unsafe tokenomics.
Historical smart-money evidence: Not available. No free chart has been stored for this token yet.
Wallet tracking
- Tracked since
- 2026-09-27 00:36:07.185348+00:00
- Candidates
- 63
- Emerging
- 1
- Qualified
- 0
- High-confidence
- 0
- Independent entities
- 61
- Coordination risk
- MEDIUM
Tracking starts when a wallet is seen buying a watch, discovery, or strong research token. A candidate is not smart money.
Development
Not available. A missing GitHub link is not treated as proof that nobody is building.
Narrative
- Narrative label FLAT_24H. Median sourced category market-cap change is -0.9% over 24h.
- A single 24h category move is not labeled HIGH and is not a multi-signal narrative score.
- The token name was not used to invent a category.
Tokenomics
- FDV is 1.0x circulating market cap.
- Reported sell tax is 0. This is a provider flag, not an audit.
Risk
- Economic holders control 63%.
Catalysts
- Sustained volume growth across multiple observation periods.
- Growth in holder count accompanied by stable or rising liquidity.
- Independent verification of contract safety, ownership controls, and liquidity locks.
- Evidence of product adoption, usage, revenue, or credible integrations.
- Reduced concentration among economic holders without large liquidity withdrawals.
Historical analogues
Not available. Analogues require stored candidates at least 30 days older, with enough overlapping features.
10x / 100x / 1000x market-cap scenarios
- 10x market cap
- $189.54M
- 100x market cap
- $1.90B
- 1000x market cap
- $18.95B
These are arithmetic market-cap scenarios, not predictions and not probabilities.
- No historical sector maximum is stored in the local corpus, so precedent is not available. Absence of a stored precedent is not evidence against the scenario.
- No historical sector maximum is stored in the local corpus, so precedent is not available. Absence of a stored precedent is not evidence against the scenario.
- No historical sector maximum is stored in the local corpus, so precedent is not available. Absence of a stored precedent is not evidence against the scenario.
AI research rationale
This is a potentially durable but unproven BSC token discovery candidate, not a validated investment thesis. The strongest positives are approximately one year of observed trading, meaningful liquidity, near-zero apparent dilution between FDV and circulating market cap, and no reported sell tax. However, holder concentration, limited growth evidence, unavailable smart-money data, and the non-guaranteed honeypot check materially weaken conviction. The deterministic opportunity score of 62.7 and survival score of 73.0 should not be interpreted as forecasts.
Confidence: medium. The packet contains reasonably specific market, liquidity, age, and snapshot data, but key investment-quality information is missing. The main uncertainty comes from holder concentration, unverified genesis age, limited longitudinal data, unavailable smart-money information, and the non-definitive security checks.
Why it is interesting
The token combines $18.95 million market capitalization with $1.55 million liquidity, an observed pool age of 370.6 days, and FDV approximately equal to circulating market capitalization. Recent volume increased 63% versus the prior stored snapshot, although broader momentum is classified as flat and holder count was unchanged.
Bull case
The token may have demonstrated meaningful persistence: observed trading age is 370.6 days, liquidity is above $1 million, liquidity is approximately 8.2% of market capitalization, and FDV is 1.0x circulating market cap. A negative honeypot result on the sources that ran and a reported zero sell tax reduce some obvious trading-friction concerns, though neither is definitive. The 63% volume increase versus the prior snapshot could indicate renewed attention, but it requires confirmation over multiple periods.
Bear case
The evidence does not establish fundamental value, sustainable demand, or reliable growth. Economic holders control 63%, holder count was flat, liquidity declined 2%, and the narrative label is FLAT_24H. Smart-money data is unavailable, the observed age is not a verified genesis date, and the honeypot check is explicitly not a guarantee. Liquidity is necessary but not evidence of quality, and the reported zero sell tax is only a provider flag rather than an audit.
What would invalidate it
The thesis would be materially weakened by evidence of concentrated-wallet selling, liquidity withdrawal, transfer or sell restrictions, contract-owner powers that enable harmful changes, fabricated or unstable trading history, falling volume and holder count across subsequent observations, or lack of independently verifiable project activity. Any such evidence should outweigh the deterministic discovery and survival scores.
Missing information
- Verified contract audit and complete contract-permission review.
- Developer, treasury, and insider-wallet ownership and transaction history.
- Liquidity-lock status, liquidity-provider concentration, and withdrawal rights.
- Absolute holder count, distribution beyond the 63% economic-holder figure, and wallet clustering analysis.
- Longer-term volume, liquidity, holder, and market-cap history.
- Evidence of product usage, revenue, users, protocol integrations, or other fundamental demand.
- Smart-money activity and identity-quality analysis.
- Exchange listings, market depth, and execution/slippage data.
- Verified token genesis date and project team information.
- Historical analogue outcomes for this specific asset or comparable assets are not supplied.
Model gpt-5.6-luna. The model did not choose the scores.
Backtest context
Forward returns at 7, 30, 90, 180, and 365 days are recorded after those horizons elapse. Until the sample is large enough, no signal is described as predictive.
Source links