Top discoveries
$CATE
Catecoin · Solana
Ai66LHZG9MCzg1WKdawwqduVAXpNDUuV8M3uyq5ppump
Overview
- Decision
- watch
- Opportunity
- 57/100
- Risk
- 6/100
- Survival
- 76/100
- Coverage
- 74%
- Model
- phase1.0
- Does not clear the discovery bar.
- opportunity 56.8 is below 60
- Enough independent evidence is stored to keep this on the watch list.
Why this is interesting
- Liquidity is $2,504,103 (at least $1M). Liquidity is necessary, not evidence of quality.
Why this might be wrong
- LP lock status is unknown. Unknown is not treated as locked.
- Does not clear the discovery bar.
- opportunity 56.8 is below 60
- Enough independent evidence is stored to keep this on the watch list.
Market data
- Market cap
- $47.52M
- FDV
- $47.51M
- Liquidity
- $2.50M
- 24h volume
- $875.7K
- Pool age
- 92 days
- 24h price change
- +2%
Price change is displayed and is not an opportunity input. Pool age is the earliest observed pool, not a verified genesis date.
Acceleration
Change against this token's own earlier snapshots. This is not a prediction and not an opportunity score.
Measured 2026-10-26 05:37:53.023332+00:00
Market
declining · coverage 100%
- 15m liquidity · unknown · +1% · complete
- 1h liquidity · accelerating · +1% · complete
- 24h liquidity · unknown · +1% · complete
- 6h liquidity · declining · -2% · complete
- 15m liquidity_to_mcap · unknown · -1% · complete
- 1h liquidity_to_mcap · declining · -1% · complete
- 24h liquidity_to_mcap · unknown · -1% · complete
- 6h liquidity_to_mcap · accelerating · +2% · complete
On-chain
flat · coverage 100%
- 15m active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 1h active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 24h active_wallets · unknown · -100% · complete
- 3d active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial
- 6h active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 7d active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial
- 15m buy_count · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 1h buy_count · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
Social
unknown · coverage 100%
- 1h copy_ratio · unknown · Not available · stale
- 24h copy_ratio · unknown · +0% · complete
- 6h copy_ratio · unknown · +23% · complete
- 1h engagement · unknown · Not available · stale
- 24h engagement · unknown · +12% · complete
- 6h engagement · unknown · +48% · complete
- 1h mentions · unknown · Not available · stale
- 24h mentions · unknown · +0% · complete
Narrative
unknown
- Unknown. Not enough earlier snapshots in this domain.
Early acceleration event
EARLY_ACCELERATION_EVENT · market, liquidity_volume
- market market_cap 1h · growth +2% · complete
- liquidity_volume liquidity 1h · growth +1% · complete
- Context: none
Social momentum
Score 56/100 · confidence 0.55
- Recent-search page contains 50 posts. This is one page, not the full history.
- Authors on this page are somewhat distributed.
- Unique authors changed 16% versus the prior stored snapshot.
- Mentions changed 2% versus the prior stored snapshot.
- Sentiment is not available. Mention count alone is not treated as community quality.
Holder concentration
- Raw top-list share
- +17%
- Economic share
- +15%
Economic share is the listed wallets and unlabeled contracts divided by supply that is not labeled as burn, pool, bridge, staking, or exchange. This uses the provider's top-holder list, not a full census. Infrastructure share of total supply is 3%.
Data confidence
- market
- 100%
- onchain
- 100%
- social
- 80%
- development
- 0%
- narrative
- 0%
- risk
- 80%
- overall
- 60%
Data confidence is separate from the opportunity coverage gate.
On-chain
- Recent volume is below the 24h pace.
- 24h volume changed -11% versus the prior stored snapshot.
- Liquidity changed -0% versus the prior stored snapshot.
- Holder count changed 0% versus the prior stored snapshot.
Smart money
- Signal
- Not available
- Qualified wallets
- 0
- High-confidence wallets
- 0
- Independent entities
- 0
- Independence
- Not available
- Accumulating
- 0
- Historical early-entry quality
- Not available
- Entry range fit
- Not available
- Coordination risk
- Not available
- Data confidence
- Not available
Why smart money matters
9 holder wallets were observed from this run. None have a measured historical track record, so none are qualified. A large balance is not smart money.
Smart money is evidence. It does not clear a honeypot, a malicious contract, extreme concentration, thin liquidity, or unsafe tokenomics.
Historical smart-money evidence: Not available. No free chart has been stored for this token yet.
Wallet tracking
- Tracked since
- 2026-09-27 01:02:07.036242+00:00
- Candidates
- 27
- Emerging
- 3
- Qualified
- 0
- High-confidence
- 0
- Independent entities
- 30
- Coordination risk
- LOW
Tracking starts when a wallet is seen buying a watch, discovery, or strong research token. A candidate is not smart money.
Development
Not available. A missing GitHub link is not treated as proof that nobody is building.
Narrative
Not available. Categories are attached only when a source assigns them.
Tokenomics
- FDV is 1.0x circulating market cap.
Risk
- LP lock status is unknown. Unknown is not treated as locked.
Catalysts
- Sustained volume growth across longer observation windows rather than only a single elevated hour.
- Expansion in holder count and economic holder share without worsening concentration.
- Stable or increasing liquidity accompanied by evidence of LP locking or credible liquidity management.
- Verification of contract controls, token distribution, and project/team fundamentals.
- Improving market regime and corroborated social growth with available sentiment data.
Historical analogues
Not available. Analogues require stored candidates at least 30 days older, with enough overlapping features.
10x / 100x / 1000x market-cap scenarios
- 10x market cap
- $475.23M
- 100x market cap
- $4.75B
- 1000x market cap
- $47.52B
These are arithmetic market-cap scenarios, not predictions and not probabilities.
- No historical sector maximum is stored in the local corpus, so precedent is not available. Absence of a stored precedent is not evidence against the scenario.
- No historical sector maximum is stored in the local corpus, so precedent is not available. Absence of a stored precedent is not evidence against the scenario.
- No historical sector maximum is stored in the local corpus, so precedent is not available. Absence of a stored precedent is not evidence against the scenario.
AI research rationale
CATE is an interesting but high-risk Solana microcap discovery, not a validated investment thesis. The evidence supports meaningful liquidity, approximately 91.5 days of observed trading, and some recent activity, but important quality and durability questions remain unresolved. The deterministic opportunity score of 61.5 and survival score of 76.0 should not be interpreted as forecasts.
Confidence: medium. The packet contains several quantitative market and activity observations with stated data limitations, but it lacks core information on liquidity locking, contract security, holder concentration, fundamentals, sentiment, and historical outcomes. The conclusion is therefore directionally supported but not sufficiently complete for high confidence.
Why it is interesting
CATE has a market cap of $46.6M, approximately $2.47M of liquidity, FDV roughly equal to circulating market cap, and 91.5 days of observed pool activity. Recent hourly volume is elevated relative to its 24-hour pace, while social authors appear somewhat distributed. These are screening positives, but none independently establish sustainable demand, fair valuation, or token quality.
Bull case
The token has substantial reported liquidity relative to its market cap, no apparent FDV-to-circulating-cap discrepancy, and a nontrivial observed trading history. Economic holder share is reported at 15%, and recent-hour volume is 2.0x the 24-hour hourly pace. If this activity reflects genuine, repeatable demand rather than short-lived rotation, CATE could remain a viable liquid microcap.
Bear case
The thesis is weakened by a risk-off market regime, a 13% decline in 24-hour volume versus the prior snapshot, 2% liquidity contraction, and no change in holder count. LP lock status is unknown, observed age is not a verified genesis date, and social evidence covers only one page with sentiment unavailable. There is also no supplied evidence of smart-money participation, holder quality, sustained community growth, or historical analogue outcomes.
What would invalidate it
The thesis would be materially weakened by evidence of removable or concentrated liquidity, contract-control vulnerabilities, insider or top-holder concentration, declining liquidity and volume over multiple snapshots, falling holder breadth, fabricated or wash-driven activity, or inability to verify the token identity and project claims. It would also be weakened if the reported 91.5-day trading history proves materially incomplete or misleading.
Missing information
- LP lock duration, locker identity, and unlock terms.
- Verified token launch/genesis date and complete trading history.
- Holder distribution, top-holder concentration, wallet quality, and insider allocations.
- Contract authority status, mint/freeze permissions, and security or audit information.
- Exchange and venue distribution, wash-trading indicators, and volume quality.
- Longer-term volume, liquidity, holder, and social trends.
- Community sentiment and engagement quality beyond one recent-search page.
- Team identity, roadmap, utility, treasury, and project execution evidence.
- Historical analogue outcomes with stored later market caps.
Model gpt-5.6-luna. The model did not choose the scores.
Backtest context
Forward returns at 7, 30, 90, 180, and 365 days are recorded after those horizons elapse. Until the sample is large enough, no signal is described as predictive.
Source links