Top discoveries
$KTA
Keeta · Base
0xc0634090f2fe6c6d75e61be2b949464abb498973
Overview
- Decision
- watch
- Opportunity
- 59/100
- Risk
- 26/100
- Survival
- 73/100
- Coverage
- 83%
- Model
- phase1.0
- Does not clear the discovery bar.
- opportunity 59.4 is below 60
- observed age is over 180 days and no acceleration is stored yet. Age and liquidity alone are not an early signal.
- Enough independent evidence is stored to keep this on the watch list.
Why this is interesting
- Liquidity is $3,789,783 (at least $1M). Liquidity is necessary, not evidence of quality.
Why this might be wrong
- Economic holders control 65%.
- A majority of LP is unlocked on the provider report.
- Does not clear the discovery bar.
- opportunity 59.4 is below 60
- observed age is over 180 days and no acceleration is stored yet. Age and liquidity alone are not an early signal.
- Enough independent evidence is stored to keep this on the watch list.
Market data
- Market cap
- $41.66M
- FDV
- $66.64M
- Liquidity
- $3.79M
- 24h volume
- $154.3K
- Pool age
- 599 days
- 24h price change
- -3%
Price change is displayed and is not an opportunity input. Pool age is the earliest observed pool, not a verified genesis date.
Acceleration
Change against this token's own earlier snapshots. This is not a prediction and not an opportunity score.
Measured 2026-10-26 04:33:35.840937+00:00
Market
declining · coverage 100%
- 15m liquidity · unknown · +0% · complete
- 1h liquidity · accelerating · +0% · complete
- 24h liquidity · declining · -3% · complete
- 3d liquidity · unknown · -5% · complete
- 6h liquidity · declining · -1% · complete
- 7d liquidity · unknown · -5% · complete
- 15m liquidity_to_mcap · unknown · -1% · complete
- 1h liquidity_to_mcap · declining · -1% · complete
On-chain
accelerating · coverage 100%
- 15m active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 1h active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 24h active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 3d active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 6h active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 7d active_wallets · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 15m buy_count · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
- 1h buy_count · unknown · Not available · partial · zero observed
Social
flat · coverage 100%
- 1h copy_ratio · unknown · Not available · stale
- 24h copy_ratio · flat · -32% · complete
- 6h copy_ratio · accelerating · +2% · complete
- 1h engagement · unknown · Not available · stale
- 24h engagement · declining · -35% · complete
- 6h engagement · flat · -17% · complete
- 1h mentions · unknown · Not available · stale
- 24h mentions · flat · -2% · complete
Narrative
declining · coverage 33%
- 6h smart-contract-platform · declining · -2% · complete
- 6h layer-1 · declining · -2% · complete
- 6h real-world-assets-rwa · declining · -2% · complete
- 6h payment-solutions · declining · -2% · complete
- 6h base-ecosystem · flat · -28% · complete
- 6h stablecoin-issuer · declining · -2% · complete
- 6h base-native · declining · -35% · complete
- 6h rwa · declining · -2% · complete
Early acceleration event
EARLY_ACCELERATION_EVENT · market, liquidity_volume
- market market_cap 1h · growth +1% · complete
- liquidity_volume liquidity 1h · growth +0% · complete
- Context: token_in_flat_narrative
Social momentum
Not available. X is queried only for a capped set of in-universe tokens.
Holder concentration
- Raw top-list share
- +66%
- Economic share
- +65%
Economic share is the listed wallets and unlabeled contracts divided by supply that is not labeled as burn, pool, bridge, staking, or exchange. This uses the provider's top-holder list, not a full census. Infrastructure share of total supply is 3%.
Data confidence
- market
- 100%
- onchain
- 100%
- social
- 0%
- development
- 0%
- narrative
- 0%
- risk
- 80%
- overall
- 47%
Data confidence is separate from the opportunity coverage gate.
On-chain
- Recent volume is below the 24h pace.
- 24h volume changed 19% versus the prior stored snapshot.
- Liquidity changed -2% versus the prior stored snapshot.
- Holder count changed 0% versus the prior stored snapshot.
Smart money
- Signal
- Not available
- Qualified wallets
- 0
- High-confidence wallets
- 0
- Independent entities
- 0
- Independence
- Not available
- Accumulating
- 0
- Historical early-entry quality
- Not available
- Entry range fit
- Not available
- Coordination risk
- Not available
- Data confidence
- Not available
Why smart money matters
8 holder wallets were observed from this run. None have a measured historical track record, so none are qualified. A large balance is not smart money.
Smart money is evidence. It does not clear a honeypot, a malicious contract, extreme concentration, thin liquidity, or unsafe tokenomics.
Historical smart-money evidence: Not available. No free chart has been stored for this token yet.
Wallet tracking
- Tracked since
- 2026-09-26 23:59:58.342282+00:00
- Candidates
- 23
- Emerging
- 3
- Qualified
- 0
- High-confidence
- 0
- Independent entities
- 26
- Coordination risk
- LOW
Tracking starts when a wallet is seen buying a watch, discovery, or strong research token. A candidate is not smart money.
Development
Not available. A missing GitHub link is not treated as proof that nobody is building.
Narrative
Not available. Categories are attached only when a source assigns them.
Tokenomics
- FDV is 1.6x circulating market cap.
- Reported sell tax is 0. This is a provider flag, not an audit.
Risk
- Economic holders control 65%.
- A majority of LP is unlocked on the provider report.
Catalysts
- Sustained volume growth accompanied by rising holder count rather than a single-hour increase.
- Evidence that LP is locked or otherwise contractually constrained, reducing withdrawal risk.
- Improved holder distribution and transparent disclosure of insider, treasury, and vesting balances.
- Verification of contract controls, project fundamentals, development activity, and real user adoption.
- A sustained improvement in the relevant category or narrative, rather than reliance on a single 24-hour move.
Historical analogues
Not available. Analogues require stored candidates at least 30 days older, with enough overlapping features.
10x / 100x / 1000x market-cap scenarios
- 10x market cap
- $416.62M
- 100x market cap
- $4.17B
- 1000x market cap
- $41.66B
These are arithmetic market-cap scenarios, not predictions and not probabilities.
- No historical sector maximum is stored in the local corpus, so precedent is not available. Absence of a stored precedent is not evidence against the scenario.
- No historical sector maximum is stored in the local corpus, so precedent is not available. Absence of a stored precedent is not evidence against the scenario.
- No historical sector maximum is stored in the local corpus, so precedent is not available. Absence of a stored precedent is not evidence against the scenario.
AI research rationale
KTA is a moderately interesting discovery candidate, but the evidence supports cautious monitoring rather than a strong investment thesis. The token has substantial observed liquidity, a long observed trading history, and a negative honeypot check from available sources, yet holder concentration, unlocked LP exposure, flat holder growth, declining 24-hour volume, and unverified age materially weaken the case. The deterministic opportunity score of 60.7 and survival score of 73.0 should not be interpreted as forecasts.
Confidence: medium. The packet provides multiple quantitative screening inputs and explicit caveats, but it lacks fundamental, contractual, distributional, and longitudinal information needed for high-conviction analysis. The supplied scores are deterministic heuristics and should not substitute for verification.
Why it is interesting
KTA combines approximately $4.0 million of liquidity with a reported $41.6 million market cap, an observed pool age of 582.8 days, and an FDV only 1.6 times circulating market cap. These are potentially constructive screening characteristics, but liquidity is explicitly not evidence of quality and the age is not a verified genesis date.
Bull case
The token may have demonstrated meaningful market persistence, with 582.8 days of observed trading, approximately $3.98 million of liquidity, and a negative honeypot check on the sources that ran. Economic holders control 66%, and the FDV-to-circulating-market-cap relationship is relatively contained at 1.6x. If holder concentration reflects committed economic ownership rather than insider or coordinated control, and if liquidity remains stable, the asset could merit further research.
Bear case
The thesis is vulnerable to concentration and liquidity-structure risks: economic holders control only a reported 66% rather than demonstrating broad distribution, and a majority of LP is unlocked. Holder count is flat versus the prior snapshot, 24-hour volume is down 9%, and the observed age is not a verified genesis date. The last-hour volume spike is only relative to the recent 24-hour hourly pace and does not establish durable demand. No smart-money signal, validated narrative momentum, or historical analogue outcome is available.
What would invalidate it
The cautious thesis would be invalidated by evidence of contract restrictions, malicious permissions, materially misleading holder or liquidity data, inability to sell, rapid LP withdrawal, substantial insider concentration, or deterioration in liquidity and trading activity. Conversely, the bullish interpretation would be weakened if the apparent age reflects only a newly created or migrated pool rather than durable project history.
Missing information
- Verified contract ownership, permissions, upgradeability, and tax configuration.
- Team identity, project purpose, roadmap, development activity, and treasury disclosures.
- Detailed holder distribution, wallet clustering, insider allocations, and vesting schedules.
- LP provider identity, exact unlocked amount, lock terms, and withdrawal history.
- Historical price, volume, liquidity, and market-cap series beyond the supplied snapshots.
- Exchange and venue quality, trading-pair composition, and wash-trading analysis.
- Audit or security assessment and evidence covering sellability beyond the available honeypot check.
- Smart-contract activity, user growth, revenue, fees, or other fundamental adoption metrics.
- Stored later market-cap outcomes for historical analogues.
Model gpt-5.6-luna. The model did not choose the scores.
Backtest context
Forward returns at 7, 30, 90, 180, and 365 days are recorded after those horizons elapse. Until the sample is large enough, no signal is described as predictive.
Source links